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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Athletic Club vs Espanyol 100,000 times. Athletic Club won 64,847 of them (64.9%), the draw came up 21% of the time and Espanyol won 14.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12%), and both teams score in 47.7% of simulations.
| Athletic Club win | 64.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21% |
| Espanyol win | 14.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 2.00 – 0.80 |
| Both teams to score | 47.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.1% |
| Athletic Club score first | 65.4% |
| Espanyol score first | 28% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 44.9% |
| Espanyol clean sheet | 13.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654537 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Athletic Club are favourites. They win 64.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21% for the draw and 14.1% for Espanyol. Including the draw, Athletic Club avoid defeat 85.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.9%) and 1-1 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.7% of simulations. Athletic Club keep a clean sheet 44.9% of the time and Espanyol 13.9%.
The simulations average 2.81 goals: 2.00 for Athletic Club and 0.80 for Espanyol. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53% and over 3.5 goals 31.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
