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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia 100,000 times. Rayo Vallecano won 46,148 of them (46.2%), the draw came up 26.6% of the time and Valencia won 27.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 (9.9%). Both teams score in 53.8% of simulations.
| Rayo Vallecano win | 46.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.6% |
| Valencia win | 27.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.55 – 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | 53.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.5% |
| Rayo Vallecano score first | 54.7% |
| Valencia score first | 37.5% |
| Rayo Vallecano clean sheet | 32.4% |
| Valencia clean sheet | 21.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654514 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Rayo Vallecano are favourites. They win 46.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.6% for the draw and 27.3% for Valencia. Including the draw, Rayo Vallecano avoid defeat 72.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.8% of simulations. Rayo Vallecano keep a clean sheet 32.4% of the time and Valencia 21.6%.
The simulations average 2.69 goals: 1.55 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.14 for Valencia. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.3% and over 3.5 goals 28.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
