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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated France vs Türkiye 100,000 times. France won 74,689 of them (74.7%), the draw came up 15.2% of the time and Türkiye won 10.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.8%), and both teams score in 55.6% of simulations.
| France win | 74.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.2% |
| Türkiye win | 10.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.71 – 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 55.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 48.8% |
| France score first | 74.6% |
| Türkiye score first | 22.4% |
| France clean sheet | 40.5% |
| Türkiye clean sheet | 7% |
Kosovo
Israel
1.6–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Norway
Wales
2.7–0.8
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Georgia
Hungary
1.0–1.2
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Portugal
Denmark
2.1–1.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Northern Ireland
Ukraine
1.1–1.0
xG
35%
Over 2.5
Sweden
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Austria
Republic of Ireland
1.9–0.9
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Romania
Poland
1.1–1.8
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725793 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
France are favourites. They win 74.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.2% for the draw and 10.1% for Türkiye. Including the draw, France avoid defeat 89.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 3-0 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.6% of simulations. France keep a clean sheet 40.5% of the time and Türkiye 7%.
The simulations average 3.62 goals: 2.71 for France and 0.91 for Türkiye. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.7% and over 3.5 goals 48.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.