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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina 100,000 times. Sweden won 58,472 of them (58.5%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and Bosnia and Herzegovina won 17%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.6%, while the likeliest Sweden win is 2-0 (10.3%). Both teams score in 53.7% of simulations.
| Sweden win | 58.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.5% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina win | 17% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.93 – 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 53.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.9% |
| Sweden score first | 63.1% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina score first | 29.7% |
| Sweden clean sheet | 38.6% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina clean sheet | 14.9% |
Türkiye
Belgium
1.4–1.9
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Armenia
Cyprus
1.3–1.2
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Czech Republic
Spain
0.7–2.6
xG
63%
Over 2.5
England
Croatia
2.8–0.8
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Italy
France
1.2–1.9
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Albania
Finland
1.5–0.9
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Montenegro
Latvia
2.1–0.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
San Marino
Belarus
0.4–2.7
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725799 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sweden are favourites. They win 58.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 17% for Bosnia and Herzegovina. Including the draw, Sweden avoid defeat 83% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest Sweden win is 2-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.7% of simulations. Sweden keep a clean sheet 38.6% of the time and Bosnia and Herzegovina 14.9%.
The simulations average 2.89 goals: 1.93 for Sweden and 0.96 for Bosnia and Herzegovina. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55% and over 3.5 goals 32.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.