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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated San Marino vs Belarus 100,000 times. Belarus won 85,025 of them (85%), the draw came up 10.9% of the time and San Marino won 4.1%. The most likely score is 0-2 (16.1%), and both teams score in 31% of simulations.
| San Marino win | 4.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 10.9% |
| Belarus win | 85% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (16.1%) |
| Expected goals | 0.41 – 2.69 |
| Both teams to score | 31% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.4% |
| San Marino score first | 13.1% |
| Belarus score first | 82.7% |
| San Marino clean sheet | 7.2% |
| Belarus clean sheet | 66.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725825 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Belarus are favourites. They win 85% of our 100,000 simulations, against 10.9% for the draw and 4.1% for San Marino. Including the draw, Belarus avoid defeat 95.9% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 16.1% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (14.3%) and 0-1 (12.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 31% of simulations. San Marino keep a clean sheet 7.2% of the time and Belarus 66.4%.
The simulations average 3.10 goals: 0.41 for San Marino and 2.69 for Belarus. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.4% and over 3.5 goals 37.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
