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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Türkiye vs Belgium 100,000 times. Belgium won 46,576 of them (46.6%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and Türkiye won 29.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Belgium win is 1-2 (9.1%). Both teams score in 63.4% of simulations.
| Türkiye win | 29.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.3% |
| Belgium win | 46.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.40 – 1.82 |
| Both teams to score | 63.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.2% |
| Türkiye score first | 35.2% |
| Belgium score first | 59.6% |
| Türkiye clean sheet | 16.6% |
| Belgium clean sheet | 25% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725778 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Belgium are favourites. They win 46.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 29.1% for Türkiye. Including the draw, Belgium avoid defeat 70.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.1%) and 2-1 (7%). The likeliest Belgium win is 1-2 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.4% of simulations. Türkiye keep a clean sheet 16.6% of the time and Belgium 25%.
The simulations average 3.22 goals: 1.40 for Türkiye and 1.82 for Belgium. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.2% and over 3.5 goals 40.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
