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UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Czech Republic vs Spain prediction

We simulated Czech Republic vs Spain 100,000 times. Spain won 80,594 of them (80.6%), the draw came up 13% of the time and Czech Republic won 6.4%. The most likely score is 0-2 (14.5%), and both teams score in 38.2% of simulations.

Czech Republic badge
Czech Republic Epet Arena
Thursday 12 November
Spain badge
Spain Away
6.4% 6,425 wins
13% Draw
80.6% 80,594 wins
Expected goals
0.55 – 2.55
Likeliest score
0-2 14.5%
Both score
38.2%
Over 2.5
59.4%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Epet Arena, Praha
Czech Republic vs Spain lineups, team news & head to head

Czech Republic vs Spain in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Thursday 12 November, 19:45

Czech Republic vs Spain simulation probabilities
Czech Republic win6.4%
Draw13%
Spain win80.6%
Most likely score0-2 (14.5%)
Expected goals0.55 – 2.55
Both teams to score38.2%
Over 1.5 goals80.6%
Over 2.5 goals59.4%
Over 3.5 goals37.5%
Czech Republic score first17%
Spain score first78.4%
Czech Republic clean sheet8.2%
Spain clean sheet58.1%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420725779
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Czech Republic vs Spain prediction FAQs

Who will win Czech Republic vs Spain?

Spain are favourites. They win 80.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13% for the draw and 6.4% for Czech Republic. Including the draw, Spain avoid defeat 93.6% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Czech Republic vs Spain?

0-2, which came up in 14.5% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (12.2%) and 0-1 (12%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Czech Republic vs Spain?

Both teams score in 38.2% of simulations. Czech Republic keep a clean sheet 8.2% of the time and Spain 58.1%.

How many goals will there be in Czech Republic vs Spain?

The simulations average 3.10 goals: 0.55 for Czech Republic and 2.55 for Spain. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.4% and over 3.5 goals 37.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.