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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Montenegro vs Latvia 100,000 times. Montenegro won 66,955 of them (67%), the draw came up 20.4% of the time and Latvia won 12.6%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14.1%), and both teams score in 42.3% of simulations.
| Montenegro win | 67% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.4% |
| Latvia win | 12.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (14.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.95 – 0.69 |
| Both teams to score | 42.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.4% |
| Montenegro score first | 69.7% |
| Latvia score first | 23.2% |
| Montenegro clean sheet | 50.4% |
| Latvia clean sheet | 14.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725822 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Montenegro are favourites. They win 67% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.4% for the draw and 12.6% for Latvia. Including the draw, Montenegro avoid defeat 87.4% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 14.1% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (13.4%) and 1-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 42.3% of simulations. Montenegro keep a clean sheet 50.4% of the time and Latvia 14.7%.
The simulations average 2.64 goals: 1.95 for Montenegro and 0.69 for Latvia. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.9% and over 3.5 goals 27.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
