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UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Armenia vs Cyprus prediction

We simulated Armenia vs Cyprus 100,000 times. Armenia won 39,669 of them (39.7%), the draw came up 26.8% of the time and Cyprus won 33.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Armenia win is 1-0 (10.8%). Both teams score in 50.4% of simulations.

Armenia badge
Armenia Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
Thursday 12 November
Cyprus badge
Cyprus Away
39.7% 39,669 wins
26.8% Draw
33.6% 33,586 wins
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.19
Likeliest score
1-1 12.5% Top Armenia win: 1-0 10.8%
Both score
50.4%
Over 2.5
45.7%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan
Armenia vs Cyprus lineups, team news & head to head

Armenia vs Cyprus in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Thursday 12 November, 17:00

Armenia vs Cyprus simulation probabilities
Armenia win39.7%
Draw26.8%
Cyprus win33.6%
Most likely score1-1 (12.5%)
Expected goals1.32 – 1.19
Both teams to score50.4%
Over 1.5 goals71.1%
Over 2.5 goals45.7%
Over 3.5 goals24.6%
Armenia score first46.3%
Cyprus score first45.6%
Armenia clean sheet30.8%
Cyprus clean sheet27.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420725814
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Armenia vs Cyprus prediction FAQs

Who will win Armenia vs Cyprus?

Armenia are favourites. They win 39.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.8% for the draw and 33.6% for Cyprus. Including the draw, Armenia avoid defeat 66.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Armenia vs Cyprus?

1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.8%) and 0-1 (9.8%). The likeliest Armenia win is 1-0 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Armenia vs Cyprus?

Both teams score in 50.4% of simulations. Armenia keep a clean sheet 30.8% of the time and Cyprus 27.2%.

How many goals will there be in Armenia vs Cyprus?

The simulations average 2.51 goals: 1.32 for Armenia and 1.19 for Cyprus. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.7% and over 3.5 goals 24.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.