NEW
Introducing New Bet Builder Tool
4 Nov 2026
Build bet builders with the stats switched on. This new innovative tool combines the UI you are familiar with when you place bet builders a…
BETA
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
NEW
5 New Livescore Page Updates
12 Nov 2026
1. A new dropdown allowing you to jump to related or popular fixtures 2. Quickly view /simulations, and /bet-builder pages for a specific f…
NEW
Bet Builder: Nations League & EFL Trophy Added
9 Nov 2026
👉 https://www.oddalerts.com/bet-builder
NEW
Fixture Difficulty & New Time Periods Live
7 Nov 2026
We have developed a new metric for the Form Guide. You can now see the upcoming difficulty of a team's fixture run. What's more, you can no…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town 100,000 times. Grimsby Town won 44,429 of them (44.4%), the draw came up 24.4% of the time and Swindon Town won 31.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Grimsby Town win is 1-2 (9%). Both teams score in 60.4% of simulations.
| Swindon Town win | 31.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.4% |
| Grimsby Town win | 44.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.37 – 1.68 |
| Both teams to score | 60.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.4% |
| Swindon Town score first | 45.1% |
| Grimsby Town score first | 49.4% |
| Swindon Town clean sheet | 19.1% |
| Grimsby Town clean sheet | 25.8% |
Exeter City
Cheltenham Town
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Salford City
Northampton Town
1.9–0.8
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Colchester United
Gillingham
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Accrington Stanley
1.6–1.0
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Rochdale
York City
1.3–1.8
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Newport County
1.6–1.1
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Shrewsbury Town
Oldham Athletic
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646591 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Grimsby Town are favourites. They win 44.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.4% for the draw and 31.2% for Swindon Town. Including the draw, Grimsby Town avoid defeat 68.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (7.7%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win is 1-2 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.4% of simulations. Swindon Town keep a clean sheet 19.1% of the time and Grimsby Town 25.8%.
The simulations average 3.05 goals: 1.37 for Swindon Town and 1.68 for Grimsby Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.5% and over 3.5 goals 36.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.