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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Ponte Preta vs Operário PR 100,000 times. Operário PR won 55,392 of them (55.4%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and Ponte Preta won 20.8%. The most likely score is 0-1 (11.3%), and both teams score in 51.1% of simulations.
| Ponte Preta win | 20.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.8% |
| Operário PR win | 55.4% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.97 – 1.76 |
| Both teams to score | 51.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.3% |
| Ponte Preta score first | 34.2% |
| Operário PR score first | 58.9% |
| Ponte Preta clean sheet | 17.7% |
| Operário PR clean sheet | 38.1% |
Londrina
Náutico
2.1–1.0
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Juventude
Botafogo SP
2.0–0.6
xG
47%
Over 2.5
CRB
Ceará
2.3–0.8
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Criciúma
Novorizontino
1.2–1.2
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Fortaleza
Vila Nova
1.3–1.1
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Atlético GO
Cuiabá
2.0–0.6
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Sport Recife
Goiás
1.2–1.6
xG
55%
Over 2.5
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
1.7–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534123 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Operário PR are favourites. They win 55.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 20.8% for Ponte Preta. Including the draw, Operário PR avoid defeat 79.2% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.2%) and 0-2 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.1% of simulations. Ponte Preta keep a clean sheet 17.7% of the time and Operário PR 38.1%.
The simulations average 2.73 goals: 0.97 for Ponte Preta and 1.76 for Operário PR. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.1% and over 3.5 goals 29.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.