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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Criciúma vs Novorizontino 100,000 times. Criciúma won 38,442 of them (38.4%), the draw came up 34.9% of the time and Novorizontino won 26.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 16.2%, while the likeliest Criciúma win is 1-0 (9.7%). Both teams score in 48.4% of simulations.
| Criciúma win | 38.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 34.9% |
| Novorizontino win | 26.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (16.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.26 – 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 48.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.6% |
| Criciúma score first | 50% |
| Novorizontino score first | 36% |
| Criciúma clean sheet | 36.6% |
| Novorizontino clean sheet | 28.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534069 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Criciúma are favourites. They win 38.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 34.9% for the draw and 26.7% for Novorizontino. Including the draw, Criciúma avoid defeat 73.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 16.2% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13.9%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest Criciúma win is 1-0 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.4% of simulations. Criciúma keep a clean sheet 36.6% of the time and Novorizontino 28.9%.
The simulations average 2.27 goals: 1.26 for Criciúma and 1.02 for Novorizontino. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.6% and over 3.5 goals 19.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
