NEW
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Build bet builders with the stats switched on. This new innovative tool combines the UI you are familiar with when you place bet builders a…
BETA
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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Fixture Difficulty & New Time Periods Live
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We have developed a new metric for the Form Guide. You can now see the upcoming difficulty of a team's fixture run. What's more, you can no…
UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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- Top Picks Section on Fixtures - New Overview Section on Index - More Leagues Added (FA Cup, MLS, Belgian Pro, Etc) - Improved Layout on D…
VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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🗣️ In this episode of the Predictions Show, founder Joe takes the new Bet Builder tool for a spin to create some interesting combinations f…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Fortaleza vs Vila Nova 100,000 times. Fortaleza won 48,007 of them (48%), the draw came up 29.4% of the time and Vila Nova won 22.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.6%, while the likeliest Fortaleza win is 1-0 (12.5%). Both teams score in 46.2% of simulations.
| Fortaleza win | 48% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.4% |
| Vila Nova win | 22.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.44 – 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 46.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Fortaleza score first | 53.2% |
| Vila Nova score first | 35.7% |
| Fortaleza clean sheet | 40.7% |
| Vila Nova clean sheet | 24.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534070 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fortaleza are favourites. They win 48% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.4% for the draw and 22.6% for Vila Nova. Including the draw, Fortaleza avoid defeat 77.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.5%) and 0-0 (11.2%). The likeliest Fortaleza win is 1-0 (12.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46.2% of simulations. Fortaleza keep a clean sheet 40.7% of the time and Vila Nova 24.2%.
The simulations average 2.34 goals: 1.44 for Fortaleza and 0.91 for Vila Nova. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.4% and over 3.5 goals 21%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
