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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Ceará vs América Mineiro 100,000 times. Ceará won 54,254 of them (54.3%), the draw came up 25.8% of the time and América Mineiro won 19.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest Ceará win is 1-0 (12.1%). Both teams score in 48.4% of simulations.
| Ceará win | 54.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.8% |
| América Mineiro win | 19.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.66 – 0.90 |
| Both teams to score | 48.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.7% |
| Ceará score first | 54.7% |
| América Mineiro score first | 36.6% |
| Ceará clean sheet | 40.8% |
| América Mineiro clean sheet | 19.5% |
Avaí
São Bernardo
1.0–1.4
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Novorizontino
Fortaleza
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Cuiabá
Juventude
0.9–1.3
xG
38%
Over 2.5
Vila Nova
Criciúma
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Náutico
CRB
0.7–2.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Atlético GO
1.0–1.5
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Goiás
Ponte Preta
3.0–0.5
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534131 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Ceará are favourites. They win 54.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.8% for the draw and 19.9% for América Mineiro. Including the draw, Ceará avoid defeat 80.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.1%) and 2-0 (10.5%). The likeliest Ceará win is 1-0 (12.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.4% of simulations. Ceará keep a clean sheet 40.8% of the time and América Mineiro 19.5%.
The simulations average 2.56 goals: 1.66 for Ceará and 0.90 for América Mineiro. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.1% and over 3.5 goals 25.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.