Dropping Odds Page Enhanced
1 Nov 2026
We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
The API add-on that launched recently allowing you to add the new simulations engine to your project had a small bug impacting the sign up …
New Predictions Show Episode Live!
30 Oct 2026
Another cracking weekend ahead and founder Joe has it covered. Arsenal away at Liverpool with the hosts an incredible price for the victory…
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Vila Nova vs Criciúma 100,000 times. Vila Nova won 45,286 of them (45.3%), the draw came up 28.8% of the time and Criciúma won 25.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.3%, while the likeliest Vila Nova win is 1-0 (12.7%). Both teams score in 46.2% of simulations.
| Vila Nova win | 45.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.8% |
| Criciúma win | 25.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.36 – 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 46.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.7% |
| Vila Nova score first | 51.8% |
| Criciúma score first | 37.7% |
| Vila Nova clean sheet | 38.5% |
| Criciúma clean sheet | 26% |
Botafogo SP
Londrina
1.9–0.9
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Operário PR
Sport Recife
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Avaí
São Bernardo
1.3–1.1
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Novorizontino
Fortaleza
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Cuiabá
Juventude
1.0–1.2
xG
38%
Over 2.5
Náutico
CRB
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Atlético GO
1.0–1.4
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Goiás
Ponte Preta
2.8–0.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534056 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Vila Nova are favourites. They win 45.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.8% for the draw and 25.9% for Criciúma. Including the draw, Vila Nova avoid defeat 74.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.7%) and 0-0 (10.7%). The likeliest Vila Nova win is 1-0 (12.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46.2% of simulations. Vila Nova keep a clean sheet 38.5% of the time and Criciúma 26%.
The simulations average 2.32 goals: 1.36 for Vila Nova and 0.96 for Criciúma. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41% and over 3.5 goals 20.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.