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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Novorizontino vs Fortaleza 100,000 times. Novorizontino won 52,995 of them (53%), the draw came up 27.1% of the time and Fortaleza won 19.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.6%, while the likeliest Novorizontino win is 1-0 (12.6%). Both teams score in 47% of simulations.
| Novorizontino win | 53% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.1% |
| Fortaleza win | 19.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.59 – 0.88 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.6% |
| Novorizontino score first | 59.6% |
| Fortaleza score first | 31% |
| Novorizontino clean sheet | 41.9% |
| Fortaleza clean sheet | 20.8% |
Botafogo SP
Londrina
1.9–0.9
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Operário PR
Sport Recife
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Avaí
São Bernardo
1.3–1.1
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Cuiabá
Juventude
1.0–1.2
xG
38%
Over 2.5
Vila Nova
Criciúma
1.4–1.0
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Náutico
CRB
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Atlético GO
1.0–1.4
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Goiás
Ponte Preta
2.8–0.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534063 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Novorizontino are favourites. They win 53% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.1% for the draw and 19.9% for Fortaleza. Including the draw, Novorizontino avoid defeat 80.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.6%) and 2-0 (10.6%). The likeliest Novorizontino win is 1-0 (12.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47% of simulations. Novorizontino keep a clean sheet 41.9% of the time and Fortaleza 20.8%.
The simulations average 2.47 goals: 1.59 for Novorizontino and 0.88 for Fortaleza. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.6% and over 3.5 goals 23.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.