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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Náutico vs CRB 100,000 times. CRB won 42,162 of them (42.2%), the draw came up 27.9% of the time and Náutico won 30%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest CRB win is 0-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations.
| Náutico win | 30% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.9% |
| CRB win | 42.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.20 – 1.46 |
| Both teams to score | 54.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.8% |
| Náutico score first | 35.5% |
| CRB score first | 56.2% |
| Náutico clean sheet | 23.6% |
| CRB clean sheet | 30.7% |
Botafogo SP
Londrina
1.9–0.9
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Operário PR
Sport Recife
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Avaí
São Bernardo
1.3–1.1
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Novorizontino
Fortaleza
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Cuiabá
Juventude
1.0–1.2
xG
38%
Over 2.5
Vila Nova
Criciúma
1.4–1.0
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Atlético GO
1.0–1.4
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Goiás
Ponte Preta
2.8–0.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534127 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
CRB are favourites. They win 42.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.9% for the draw and 30% for Náutico. Including the draw, CRB avoid defeat 70.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest CRB win is 0-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations. Náutico keep a clean sheet 23.6% of the time and CRB 30.7%.
The simulations average 2.66 goals: 1.20 for Náutico and 1.46 for CRB. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.5% and over 3.5 goals 27.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.