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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Goiás vs Ponte Preta 100,000 times. Goiás won 86,805 of them (86.8%), the draw came up 9.4% of the time and Ponte Preta won 3.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (14.2%), and both teams score in 34.7% of simulations.
| Goiás win | 86.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 9.4% |
| Ponte Preta win | 3.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (14.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.96 – 0.46 |
| Both teams to score | 34.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.5% |
| Goiás score first | 85% |
| Ponte Preta score first | 11.9% |
| Goiás clean sheet | 63% |
| Ponte Preta clean sheet | 5.5% |
Botafogo SP
Londrina
1.8–0.9
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Operário PR
Sport Recife
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Avaí
São Bernardo
1.3–1.1
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Novorizontino
Fortaleza
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Cuiabá
Juventude
1.0–1.2
xG
38%
Over 2.5
Vila Nova
Criciúma
1.4–1.0
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Náutico
CRB
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Atlético GO
1.0–1.4
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534130 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Goiás are favourites. They win 86.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 9.4% for the draw and 3.9% for Ponte Preta. Including the draw, Goiás avoid defeat 96.2% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 14.2% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (13.8%) and 4-0 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 34.7% of simulations. Goiás keep a clean sheet 63% of the time and Ponte Preta 5.5%.
The simulations average 3.43 goals: 2.96 for Goiás and 0.46 for Ponte Preta. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66% and over 3.5 goals 44.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.