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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Avaí vs São Bernardo 100,000 times. Avaí won 40,142 of them (40.1%), the draw came up 29.4% of the time and São Bernardo won 30.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.7%, while the likeliest Avaí win is 1-0 (11.4%). Both teams score in 47.8% of simulations.
| Avaí win | 40.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.4% |
| São Bernardo win | 30.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.28 – 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 47.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.2% |
| Avaí score first | 50.1% |
| São Bernardo score first | 39.1% |
| Avaí clean sheet | 34.5% |
| São Bernardo clean sheet | 28.3% |
Botafogo SP
Londrina
1.9–0.9
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Operário PR
Sport Recife
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Novorizontino
Fortaleza
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Cuiabá
Juventude
1.0–1.2
xG
38%
Over 2.5
Vila Nova
Criciúma
1.4–1.0
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Náutico
CRB
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Atlético GO
1.0–1.4
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Goiás
Ponte Preta
2.8–0.4
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534066 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Avaí are favourites. They win 40.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.4% for the draw and 30.5% for São Bernardo. Including the draw, Avaí avoid defeat 69.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.7% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.4%) and 0-0 (10.6%). The likeliest Avaí win is 1-0 (11.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.8% of simulations. Avaí keep a clean sheet 34.5% of the time and São Bernardo 28.3%.
The simulations average 2.35 goals: 1.28 for Avaí and 1.08 for São Bernardo. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.7% and over 3.5 goals 21.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.