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Brazil Serie B · 100,000 simulations

Sport Recife vs Goiás prediction

We simulated Sport Recife vs Goiás 100,000 times. Goiás won 41,815 of them (41.8%), the draw came up 25.3% of the time and Sport Recife won 32.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.8%, while the likeliest Goiás win is 1-2 (8.7%). Both teams score in 57.2% of simulations.

Sport Recife badge
Sport Recife Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Saturday 14 November
Goiás badge
Goiás Away
32.9% 32,899 wins
25.3% Draw
41.8% 41,815 wins
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.53
Likeliest score
1-1 11.8% Top Goiás win: 1-2 8.7%
Both score
57.2%
Over 2.5
54.1%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife
Sport Recife vs Goiás lineups, team news & head to head

Sport Recife vs Goiás in numbers 100,000 simulations · Brazil Serie B · Saturday 14 November, 19:30

Sport Recife vs Goiás simulation probabilities
Sport Recife win32.9%
Draw25.3%
Goiás win41.8%
Most likely score1-1 (11.8%)
Expected goals1.33 – 1.53
Both teams to score57.2%
Over 1.5 goals77.7%
Over 2.5 goals54.1%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Sport Recife score first41.7%
Goiás score first52.1%
Sport Recife clean sheet22.1%
Goiás clean sheet26.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420534079
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Sport Recife vs Goiás prediction FAQs

Who will win Sport Recife vs Goiás?

Goiás are favourites. They win 41.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.3% for the draw and 32.9% for Sport Recife. Including the draw, Goiás avoid defeat 67.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Sport Recife vs Goiás?

1-1, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest Goiás win is 1-2 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Sport Recife vs Goiás?

Both teams score in 57.2% of simulations. Sport Recife keep a clean sheet 22.1% of the time and Goiás 26.9%.

How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Goiás?

The simulations average 2.85 goals: 1.33 for Sport Recife and 1.53 for Goiás. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.1% and over 3.5 goals 32%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.