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  1. Simulations
  2. Brazil Serie B
  3. América Mineiro vs Avaí
Brazil Serie B · 100,000 simulations

América Mineiro vs Avaí prediction

We simulated América Mineiro vs Avaí 100,000 times. Avaí won 46,176 of them (46.2%), the draw came up 26.2% of the time and América Mineiro won 27.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Avaí win is 0-1 (11.6%). Both teams score in 50.1% of simulations.

América Mineiro badge
América Mineiro Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães
Saturday 14 November
Avaí badge
Avaí Away
27.6% 27,586 wins
26.2% Draw
46.2% 46,176 wins
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.47
Likeliest score
1-1 12.3% Top Avaí win: 0-1 11.6%
Both score
50.1%
Over 2.5
46.4%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães, Contagem
América Mineiro vs Avaí lineups, team news & head to head

América Mineiro vs Avaí in numbers 100,000 simulations · Brazil Serie B · Saturday 14 November, 19:30

América Mineiro vs Avaí simulation probabilities
América Mineiro win27.6%
Draw26.2%
Avaí win46.2%
Most likely score1-1 (12.3%)
Expected goals1.07 – 1.47
Both teams to score50.1%
Over 1.5 goals71.8%
Over 2.5 goals46.4%
Over 3.5 goals25.2%
América Mineiro score first41.9%
Avaí score first50.2%
América Mineiro clean sheet23.4%
Avaí clean sheet34.7%

More Brazil Serie B simulations

Londrina Náutico 2.1–1.0 xG 58% Over 2.5 Juventude Botafogo SP 1.8–0.7 xG 45% Over 2.5 CRB Ceará 2.2–0.8 xG 57% Over 2.5 Criciúma Novorizontino 1.3–1.1 xG 41% Over 2.5 Fortaleza Vila Nova 1.4–1.0 xG 41% Over 2.5 Atlético GO Cuiabá 1.9–0.6 xG 46% Over 2.5 Sport Recife Goiás 1.4–1.5 xG 54% Over 2.5 São Bernardo Athletic Club 1.7–1.0 xG 50% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420534118
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

América Mineiro vs Avaí prediction FAQs

Who will win América Mineiro vs Avaí?

Avaí are favourites. They win 46.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.2% for the draw and 27.6% for América Mineiro. Including the draw, Avaí avoid defeat 72.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in América Mineiro vs Avaí?

1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.6%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Avaí win is 0-1 (11.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in América Mineiro vs Avaí?

Both teams score in 50.1% of simulations. América Mineiro keep a clean sheet 23.4% of the time and Avaí 34.7%.

How many goals will there be in América Mineiro vs Avaí?

The simulations average 2.54 goals: 1.07 for América Mineiro and 1.47 for Avaí. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.4% and over 3.5 goals 25.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.