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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated São Bernardo vs Athletic Club 100,000 times. São Bernardo won 51,026 of them (51%), the draw came up 25.3% of the time and Athletic Club won 23.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest São Bernardo win is 1-0 (10.7%). Both teams score in 52.4% of simulations.
| São Bernardo win | 51% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.3% |
| Athletic Club win | 23.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.65 – 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 52.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.7% |
| São Bernardo score first | 54.7% |
| Athletic Club score first | 37.9% |
| São Bernardo clean sheet | 35.5% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 19.6% |
Londrina
Náutico
2.1–1.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Juventude
Botafogo SP
1.8–0.7
xG
45%
Over 2.5
CRB
Ceará
2.2–0.8
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Criciúma
Novorizontino
1.3–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Fortaleza
Vila Nova
1.4–1.0
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Atlético GO
Cuiabá
1.9–0.6
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Sport Recife
Goiás
1.3–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
América Mineiro
Avaí
1.1–1.5
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534117 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
São Bernardo are favourites. They win 51% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.3% for the draw and 23.7% for Athletic Club. Including the draw, São Bernardo avoid defeat 76.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest São Bernardo win is 1-0 (10.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.4% of simulations. São Bernardo keep a clean sheet 35.5% of the time and Athletic Club 19.6%.
The simulations average 2.70 goals: 1.65 for São Bernardo and 1.05 for Athletic Club. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.4% and over 3.5 goals 28.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.