OddAlerts | In-Play Football Alerts
Login

Join The Team!

A signing like no other...

Name
Email
Password
Selected Plan:
Pro£19.99/m
Pro w/ API£69.99/m
Season Ticket£179.99
... Close
  1. Simulations
  2. EFL League Two
  3. Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley
EFL League Two · 100,000 simulations

Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley prediction

We simulated Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley 100,000 times. Port Vale won 50,103 of them (50.1%), the draw came up 27.8% of the time and Accrington Stanley won 22.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Port Vale win is 1-0 (11.7%). Both teams score in 48.8% of simulations.

Port Vale badge
Port Vale Vale Park
Saturday 14 November
Accrington Stanley badge
Accrington Stanley Away
50.1% 50,103 wins
27.8% Draw
22.1% 22,097 wins
Expected goals
1.55 – 0.95
Likeliest score
1-1 13.1% Top Port Vale win: 1-0 11.7%
Both score
48.8%
Over 2.5
45.3%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Simon Mather Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent

Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley in numbers 100,000 simulations · EFL League Two · Saturday 14 November, 15:00

Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley simulation probabilities
Port Vale win50.1%
Draw27.8%
Accrington Stanley win22.1%
Most likely score1-1 (13.1%)
Expected goals1.55 – 0.95
Both teams to score48.8%
Over 1.5 goals71.9%
Over 2.5 goals45.3%
Over 3.5 goals24.2%
Port Vale score first59.4%
Accrington Stanley score first31.2%
Port Vale clean sheet39.1%
Accrington Stanley clean sheet21.7%

More EFL League Two simulations

Exeter City Cheltenham Town 1.7–0.9 xG 49% Over 2.5 Salford City Northampton Town 1.9–0.8 xG 49% Over 2.5 Colchester United Gillingham 1.6–1.1 xG 51% Over 2.5 Swindon Town Grimsby Town 1.4–1.7 xG 59% Over 2.5 Rochdale York City 1.3–1.8 xG 59% Over 2.5 Crewe Alexandra Newport County 1.6–1.1 xG 49% Over 2.5 Shrewsbury Town Oldham Athletic 1.4–1.2 xG 48% Over 2.5 Bristol Rovers Chesterfield 1.5–1.4 xG 55% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646592
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley prediction FAQs

Who will win Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley?

Port Vale are favourites. They win 50.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.8% for the draw and 22.1% for Accrington Stanley. Including the draw, Port Vale avoid defeat 77.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley?

1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest Port Vale win is 1-0 (11.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley?

Both teams score in 48.8% of simulations. Port Vale keep a clean sheet 39.1% of the time and Accrington Stanley 21.7%.

How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley?

The simulations average 2.49 goals: 1.55 for Port Vale and 0.95 for Accrington Stanley. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.3% and over 3.5 goals 24.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.