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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic 100,000 times. Shrewsbury Town won 41,637 of them (41.6%), the draw came up 28.4% of the time and Oldham Athletic won 30%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.4%, while the likeliest Shrewsbury Town win is 1-0 (9.3%). Both teams score in 53.5% of simulations.
| Shrewsbury Town win | 41.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.4% |
| Oldham Athletic win | 30% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.43 – 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | 53.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.8% |
| Shrewsbury Town score first | 51.1% |
| Oldham Athletic score first | 40.2% |
| Shrewsbury Town clean sheet | 31% |
| Oldham Athletic clean sheet | 24.2% |
Exeter City
Cheltenham Town
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Salford City
Northampton Town
1.9–0.8
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Colchester United
Gillingham
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Swindon Town
Grimsby Town
1.4–1.6
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Accrington Stanley
1.6–1.0
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Rochdale
York City
1.3–1.8
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Newport County
1.6–1.1
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
1.5–1.5
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646707 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Shrewsbury Town are favourites. They win 41.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.4% for the draw and 30% for Oldham Athletic. Including the draw, Shrewsbury Town avoid defeat 70% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.4% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.3%) and 0-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win is 1-0 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.5% of simulations. Shrewsbury Town keep a clean sheet 31% of the time and Oldham Athletic 24.2%.
The simulations average 2.62 goals: 1.43 for Shrewsbury Town and 1.18 for Oldham Athletic. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.4% and over 3.5 goals 26.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.