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We simulated Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley 100,000 times. Wigan Athletic won 44,406 of them (44.4%), the draw came up 24.4% of the time and Barnsley won 31.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Wigan Athletic win is 2-1 (8.8%). Both teams score in 64.7% of simulations.
| Wigan Athletic win | 44.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.4% |
| Barnsley win | 31.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.80 – 1.48 |
| Both teams to score | 64.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.5% |
| Wigan Athletic score first | 47.2% |
| Barnsley score first | 48% |
| Wigan Athletic clean sheet | 23.1% |
| Barnsley clean sheet | 17% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420647044 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Wigan Athletic are favourites. They win 44.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.4% for the draw and 31.2% for Barnsley. Including the draw, Wigan Athletic avoid defeat 68.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win is 2-1 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.7% of simulations. Wigan Athletic keep a clean sheet 23.1% of the time and Barnsley 17%.
The simulations average 3.28 goals: 1.80 for Wigan Athletic and 1.48 for Barnsley. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.3% and over 3.5 goals 41.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.