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We simulated Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion 100,000 times. Milton Keynes Dons won 61,477 of them (61.5%), the draw came up 21.6% of the time and Burton Albion won 16.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.1%), and both teams score in 54.3% of simulations.
| Milton Keynes Dons win | 61.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.6% |
| Burton Albion win | 16.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.05 – 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 54.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.9% |
| Milton Keynes Dons score first | 61.9% |
| Burton Albion score first | 32.7% |
| Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet | 38% |
| Burton Albion clean sheet | 13.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420647290 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Milton Keynes Dons are favourites. They win 61.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.6% for the draw and 16.9% for Burton Albion. Including the draw, Milton Keynes Dons avoid defeat 83.1% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.3% of simulations. Milton Keynes Dons keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Burton Albion 13.3%.
The simulations average 3.03 goals: 2.05 for Milton Keynes Dons and 0.98 for Burton Albion. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58% and over 3.5 goals 35.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.