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  1. Simulations
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Scotland vs North Macedonia
UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Scotland vs North Macedonia prediction

We simulated Scotland vs North Macedonia 100,000 times. Scotland won 79,742 of them (79.7%), the draw came up 14.2% of the time and North Macedonia won 6.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (15.8%), and both teams score in 34.7% of simulations.

Scotland badge
Scotland Hampden Park
Friday 13 November
North Macedonia badge
North Macedonia Away
79.7% 79,742 wins
14.2% Draw
6.1% 6,093 wins
Expected goals
2.41 – 0.49
Likeliest score
2-0 15.8%
Both score
34.7%
Over 2.5
54.9%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Hampden Park, Glasgow
Scotland vs North Macedonia lineups, team news & head to head

Scotland vs North Macedonia in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Friday 13 November, 19:45

Scotland vs North Macedonia simulation probabilities
Scotland win79.7%
Draw14.2%
North Macedonia win6.1%
Most likely score2-0 (15.8%)
Expected goals2.41 – 0.49
Both teams to score34.7%
Over 1.5 goals77.8%
Over 2.5 goals54.9%
Over 3.5 goals32.9%
Scotland score first79%
North Macedonia score first15.5%
Scotland clean sheet61.5%
North Macedonia clean sheet9.5%

More UEFA Nations League simulations

Türkiye Belgium 1.4–1.9 xG 63% Over 2.5 Armenia Cyprus 1.3–1.2 xG 46% Over 2.5 Czech Republic Spain 0.7–2.6 xG 63% Over 2.5 England Croatia 2.8–0.8 xG 68% Over 2.5 Italy France 1.2–1.9 xG 59% Over 2.5 Albania Finland 1.5–0.9 xG 43% Over 2.5 Montenegro Latvia 2.1–0.6 xG 51% Over 2.5 San Marino Belarus 0.4–2.7 xG 60% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420725807
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Scotland vs North Macedonia prediction FAQs

Who will win Scotland vs North Macedonia?

Scotland are favourites. They win 79.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14.2% for the draw and 6.1% for North Macedonia. Including the draw, Scotland avoid defeat 93.9% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Scotland vs North Macedonia?

2-0, which came up in 15.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (13.6%) and 3-0 (12.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Scotland vs North Macedonia?

Both teams score in 34.7% of simulations. Scotland keep a clean sheet 61.5% of the time and North Macedonia 9.5%.

How many goals will there be in Scotland vs North Macedonia?

The simulations average 2.89 goals: 2.41 for Scotland and 0.49 for North Macedonia. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.9% and over 3.5 goals 32.9%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.