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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Netherlands vs Greece 100,000 times. Netherlands won 59,048 of them (59.1%), the draw came up 22.3% of the time and Greece won 18.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest Netherlands win is 2-0 (9.8%). Both teams score in 54.5% of simulations.
| Netherlands win | 59.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.3% |
| Greece win | 18.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.97 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 54.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.7% |
| Netherlands score first | 61.3% |
| Greece score first | 33% |
| Netherlands clean sheet | 36.8% |
| Greece clean sheet | 14.4% |
Türkiye
Belgium
1.4–1.9
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Armenia
Cyprus
1.1–1.3
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Czech Republic
Spain
0.7–2.4
xG
59%
Over 2.5
England
Croatia
2.7–0.9
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Italy
France
1.3–1.7
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Albania
Finland
1.3–0.9
xG
36%
Over 2.5
Montenegro
Latvia
2.1–0.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
San Marino
Belarus
0.4–2.6
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725792 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Netherlands are favourites. They win 59.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.3% for the draw and 18.7% for Greece. Including the draw, Netherlands avoid defeat 81.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest Netherlands win is 2-0 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.5% of simulations. Netherlands keep a clean sheet 36.8% of the time and Greece 14.4%.
The simulations average 2.98 goals: 1.97 for Netherlands and 1.01 for Greece. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.9% and over 3.5 goals 34.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.