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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Rochdale vs York City 100,000 times. York City won 48,612 of them (48.6%), the draw came up 23.7% of the time and Rochdale won 27.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest York City win is 1-2 (9.3%). Both teams score in 60.1% of simulations.
| Rochdale win | 27.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.7% |
| York City win | 48.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.30 – 1.79 |
| Both teams to score | 60.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.1% |
| Rochdale score first | 37% |
| York City score first | 57.9% |
| Rochdale clean sheet | 17.2% |
| York City clean sheet | 27.7% |
Exeter City
Cheltenham Town
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Salford City
Northampton Town
1.9–0.8
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Colchester United
Gillingham
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Swindon Town
Grimsby Town
1.4–1.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Accrington Stanley
1.6–1.0
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Newport County
1.6–1.1
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Shrewsbury Town
Oldham Athletic
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646595 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
York City are favourites. They win 48.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.7% for the draw and 27.7% for Rochdale. Including the draw, York City avoid defeat 72.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest York City win is 1-2 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.1% of simulations. Rochdale keep a clean sheet 17.2% of the time and York City 27.7%.
The simulations average 3.08 goals: 1.30 for Rochdale and 1.79 for York City. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.2% and over 3.5 goals 37.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.