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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere Rovers 100,000 times. Fleetwood Town won 52,243 of them (52.2%), the draw came up 25.6% of the time and Tranmere Rovers won 22.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest Fleetwood Town win is 1-0 (10.2%). Both teams score in 53.1% of simulations.
| Fleetwood Town win | 52.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.6% |
| Tranmere Rovers win | 22.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.71 – 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 53.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.6% |
| Fleetwood Town score first | 54.6% |
| Tranmere Rovers score first | 38% |
| Fleetwood Town clean sheet | 35.9% |
| Tranmere Rovers clean sheet | 18.5% |
Exeter City
Cheltenham Town
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Salford City
Northampton Town
1.9–0.8
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Colchester United
Gillingham
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Swindon Town
Grimsby Town
1.4–1.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Accrington Stanley
1.6–1.0
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Rochdale
York City
1.3–1.8
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Newport County
1.6–1.1
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Shrewsbury Town
Oldham Athletic
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646805 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fleetwood Town are favourites. They win 52.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.6% for the draw and 22.2% for Tranmere Rovers. Including the draw, Fleetwood Town avoid defeat 77.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win is 1-0 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.1% of simulations. Fleetwood Town keep a clean sheet 35.9% of the time and Tranmere Rovers 18.5%.
The simulations average 2.74 goals: 1.71 for Fleetwood Town and 1.03 for Tranmere Rovers. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.4% and over 3.5 goals 29.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.