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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town 100,000 times. Exeter City won 54,891 of them (54.9%), the draw came up 24.8% of the time and Cheltenham Town won 20.3%. The most likely score is 1-0 (11.9%), and both teams score in 49.4% of simulations.
| Exeter City win | 54.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.8% |
| Cheltenham Town win | 20.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.70 – 0.93 |
| Both teams to score | 49.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.1% |
| Exeter City score first | 59.3% |
| Cheltenham Town score first | 33.1% |
| Exeter City clean sheet | 39.7% |
| Cheltenham Town clean sheet | 18.7% |
Salford City
Northampton Town
1.9–0.8
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Colchester United
Gillingham
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Swindon Town
Grimsby Town
1.4–1.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Accrington Stanley
1.6–1.0
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Rochdale
York City
1.3–1.8
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Newport County
1.6–1.1
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Shrewsbury Town
Oldham Athletic
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
1.5–1.4
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646540 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Exeter City are favourites. They win 54.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.8% for the draw and 20.3% for Cheltenham Town. Including the draw, Exeter City avoid defeat 79.7% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.7%) and 2-0 (10.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.4% of simulations. Exeter City keep a clean sheet 39.7% of the time and Cheltenham Town 18.7%.
The simulations average 2.63 goals: 1.70 for Exeter City and 0.93 for Cheltenham Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.7% and over 3.5 goals 27.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.