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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Norway vs Wales 100,000 times. Norway won 76,159 of them (76.2%), the draw came up 14.3% of the time and Wales won 9.5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.5%), and both teams score in 49.3% of simulations.
| Norway win | 76.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14.3% |
| Wales win | 9.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.59 – 0.78 |
| Both teams to score | 49.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.3% |
| Norway score first | 77.1% |
| Wales score first | 19.5% |
| Norway clean sheet | 46.1% |
| Wales clean sheet | 7.9% |
Moldova
Kazakhstan
1.2–1.2
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Serbia
Germany
0.8–2.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Netherlands
Greece
2.0–1.0
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Slovenia
Switzerland
0.8–1.6
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Scotland
North Macedonia
2.4–0.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Bulgaria
Iceland
1.0–1.6
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Luxembourg
Estonia
1.2–1.0
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Slovakia
Faroe Islands
2.0–0.7
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725790 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Norway are favourites. They win 76.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14.3% for the draw and 9.5% for Wales. Including the draw, Norway avoid defeat 90.5% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.3% of simulations. Norway keep a clean sheet 46.1% of the time and Wales 7.9%.
The simulations average 3.37 goals: 2.59 for Norway and 0.78 for Wales. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.9% and over 3.5 goals 43.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.