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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Luxembourg vs Estonia 100,000 times. Luxembourg won 41,516 of them (41.5%), the draw came up 30.1% of the time and Estonia won 28.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.6%, while the likeliest Luxembourg win is 1-0 (13.4%). Both teams score in 43.3% of simulations.
| Luxembourg win | 41.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.1% |
| Estonia win | 28.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.22 – 0.95 |
| Both teams to score | 43.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 17.6% |
| Luxembourg score first | 46.3% |
| Estonia score first | 41.4% |
| Luxembourg clean sheet | 38.9% |
| Estonia clean sheet | 30% |
Türkiye
Belgium
1.4–1.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Armenia
Cyprus
1.3–1.2
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Czech Republic
Spain
0.6–2.6
xG
59%
Over 2.5
England
Croatia
2.7–0.8
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Italy
France
1.3–1.8
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Albania
Finland
1.4–0.9
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Montenegro
Latvia
2.0–0.7
xG
50%
Over 2.5
San Marino
Belarus
0.4–2.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725817 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Luxembourg are favourites. They win 41.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.1% for the draw and 28.4% for Estonia. Including the draw, Luxembourg avoid defeat 71.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (13.4%) and 0-0 (12.2%). The likeliest Luxembourg win is 1-0 (13.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 43.3% of simulations. Luxembourg keep a clean sheet 38.9% of the time and Estonia 30%.
The simulations average 2.17 goals: 1.22 for Luxembourg and 0.95 for Estonia. Over 1.5 goals lands 64% of the time, over 2.5 goals 36.8% and over 3.5 goals 17.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.