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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Georgia vs Hungary 100,000 times. Hungary won 37,894 of them (37.9%), the draw came up 31.1% of the time and Georgia won 31%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.1%, while the likeliest Hungary win is 0-1 (12.3%). Both teams score in 44% of simulations.
| Georgia win | 31% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.1% |
| Hungary win | 37.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.01 – 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 17.5% |
| Georgia score first | 41.7% |
| Hungary score first | 45.6% |
| Georgia clean sheet | 32% |
| Hungary clean sheet | 36.7% |
Moldova
Kazakhstan
1.2–1.2
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Serbia
Germany
0.8–2.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Netherlands
Greece
2.0–1.0
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Slovenia
Switzerland
0.8–1.6
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Scotland
North Macedonia
2.4–0.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Bulgaria
Iceland
1.0–1.6
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Luxembourg
Estonia
1.2–1.0
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Slovakia
Faroe Islands
2.0–0.7
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725809 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hungary are favourites. They win 37.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.1% for the draw and 31% for Georgia. Including the draw, Hungary avoid defeat 69% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.1% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (12.7%) and 0-1 (12.3%). The likeliest Hungary win is 0-1 (12.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44% of simulations. Georgia keep a clean sheet 32% of the time and Hungary 36.7%.
The simulations average 2.16 goals: 1.01 for Georgia and 1.15 for Hungary. Over 1.5 goals lands 64.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 36.7% and over 3.5 goals 17.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.