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  1. Simulations
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Northern Ireland vs Ukraine
UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction

We simulated Northern Ireland vs Ukraine 100,000 times. Northern Ireland won 41,040 of them (41%), the draw came up 31.4% of the time and Ukraine won 27.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.1%, while the likeliest Northern Ireland win is 1-0 (13%). Both teams score in 43.3% of simulations.

Northern Ireland badge
Northern Ireland Windsor Park
Saturday 14 November
Ukraine badge
Ukraine Away
41% 41,040 wins
31.4% Draw
27.6% 27,579 wins
Expected goals
1.21 – 0.94
Likeliest score
1-1 14.1% Top Northern win: 1-0 13%
Both score
43.3%
Over 2.5
36.2%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Windsor Park, Belfast
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine lineups, team news & head to head

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Saturday 14 November, 19:45

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine simulation probabilities
Northern Ireland win41%
Draw31.4%
Ukraine win27.6%
Most likely score1-1 (14.1%)
Expected goals1.21 – 0.94
Both teams to score43.3%
Over 1.5 goals64%
Over 2.5 goals36.2%
Over 3.5 goals17.1%
Northern Ireland score first49.9%
Ukraine score first36.9%
Northern Ireland clean sheet39.4%
Ukraine clean sheet30.3%

More UEFA Nations League simulations

Türkiye Belgium 1.4–1.9 xG 63% Over 2.5 Armenia Cyprus 1.3–1.2 xG 46% Over 2.5 Czech Republic Spain 0.7–2.6 xG 63% Over 2.5 England Croatia 2.8–0.8 xG 68% Over 2.5 Italy France 1.2–1.9 xG 59% Over 2.5 Albania Finland 1.5–0.9 xG 43% Over 2.5 Montenegro Latvia 2.1–0.6 xG 51% Over 2.5 San Marino Belarus 0.4–2.7 xG 60% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420725797
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction FAQs

Who will win Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Northern Ireland are favourites. They win 41% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.4% for the draw and 27.6% for Ukraine. Including the draw, Northern Ireland avoid defeat 72.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

1-1, which came up in 14.1% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13.1%) and 1-0 (13%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win is 1-0 (13%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Both teams score in 43.3% of simulations. Northern Ireland keep a clean sheet 39.4% of the time and Ukraine 30.3%.

How many goals will there be in Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

The simulations average 2.14 goals: 1.21 for Northern Ireland and 0.94 for Ukraine. Over 1.5 goals lands 64% of the time, over 2.5 goals 36.2% and over 3.5 goals 17.1%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.