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UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Latvia vs Armenia prediction

We simulated Latvia vs Armenia 100,000 times. Armenia won 37,679 of them (37.7%), the draw came up 29% of the time and Latvia won 33.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.2%, while the likeliest Armenia win is 0-1 (12.5%). Both teams score in 44.3% of simulations.

Latvia badge
Latvia Stadions Skonto
Sunday 15 November
Armenia badge
Armenia Away
33.3% 33,301 wins
29% Draw
37.7% 37,679 wins
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.15
Likeliest score
1-1 13.2% Top Armenia win: 0-1 12.5%
Both score
44.3%
Over 2.5
38.1%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Vasilis Fotias Stadions Skonto, Riga

Latvia vs Armenia in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Sunday 15 November, 14:00

Latvia vs Armenia simulation probabilities
Latvia win33.3%
Draw29%
Armenia win37.7%
Most likely score1-1 (13.2%)
Expected goals1.06 – 1.15
Both teams to score44.3%
Over 1.5 goals64.7%
Over 2.5 goals38.1%
Over 3.5 goals18.5%
Latvia score first45.4%
Armenia score first43.2%
Latvia clean sheet32%
Armenia clean sheet34.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420725820
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Latvia vs Armenia prediction FAQs

Who will win Latvia vs Armenia?

Armenia are favourites. They win 37.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29% for the draw and 33.3% for Latvia. Including the draw, Armenia avoid defeat 66.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Latvia vs Armenia?

1-1, which came up in 13.2% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (12.5%) and 1-0 (11.6%). The likeliest Armenia win is 0-1 (12.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Latvia vs Armenia?

Both teams score in 44.3% of simulations. Latvia keep a clean sheet 32% of the time and Armenia 34.9%.

How many goals will there be in Latvia vs Armenia?

The simulations average 2.21 goals: 1.06 for Latvia and 1.15 for Armenia. Over 1.5 goals lands 64.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 38.1% and over 3.5 goals 18.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.