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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Romania vs Poland 100,000 times. Poland won 52,895 of them (52.9%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and Romania won 23.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Poland win is 1-2 (9.6%). Both teams score in 56.5% of simulations.
| Romania win | 23.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.8% |
| Poland win | 52.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.13 – 1.82 |
| Both teams to score | 56.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Romania score first | 35.8% |
| Poland score first | 58.2% |
| Romania clean sheet | 16.7% |
| Poland clean sheet | 32.7% |
Türkiye
Belgium
1.4–1.9
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Armenia
Cyprus
1.3–1.2
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Czech Republic
Spain
0.7–2.6
xG
63%
Over 2.5
England
Croatia
2.8–0.8
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Italy
France
1.2–1.9
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Albania
Finland
1.5–0.9
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Montenegro
Latvia
2.1–0.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
San Marino
Belarus
0.4–2.7
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725805 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Poland are favourites. They win 52.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 23.3% for Romania. Including the draw, Poland avoid defeat 76.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.2%). The likeliest Poland win is 1-2 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.5% of simulations. Romania keep a clean sheet 16.7% of the time and Poland 32.7%.
The simulations average 2.94 goals: 1.13 for Romania and 1.82 for Poland. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.1% and over 3.5 goals 34%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.