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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Portugal vs Denmark 100,000 times. Portugal won 61,191 of them (61.2%), the draw came up 20.8% of the time and Denmark won 18%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.7%), and both teams score in 55.7% of simulations.
| Portugal win | 61.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.8% |
| Denmark win | 18% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.7%) |
| Expected goals | 2.08 – 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 55.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.5% |
| Portugal score first | 66.9% |
| Denmark score first | 28.1% |
| Portugal clean sheet | 36.2% |
| Denmark clean sheet | 13% |
Türkiye
Belgium
1.4–1.9
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Armenia
Cyprus
1.3–1.2
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Czech Republic
Spain
0.7–2.6
xG
63%
Over 2.5
England
Croatia
2.8–0.8
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Italy
France
1.2–1.9
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Albania
Finland
1.5–0.9
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Montenegro
Latvia
2.1–0.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
San Marino
Belarus
0.4–2.7
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725787 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Portugal are favourites. They win 61.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.8% for the draw and 18% for Denmark. Including the draw, Portugal avoid defeat 82% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.7% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.7% of simulations. Portugal keep a clean sheet 36.2% of the time and Denmark 13%.
The simulations average 3.10 goals: 2.08 for Portugal and 1.02 for Denmark. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.6% and over 3.5 goals 37.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.