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UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Finland vs San Marino prediction

We simulated Finland vs San Marino 100,000 times. Finland won 94,433 of them (94.4%), the draw came up 4.7% of the time and San Marino won 0.8%. The most likely score is 3-0 (17.8%), and both teams score in 15.3% of simulations.

Finland badge
Finland Bolt Arena
Sunday 15 November
San Marino badge
San Marino Away
94.4% 94,433 wins
4.7% Draw
0.8% 828 wins
Expected goals
3.45 – 0.17
Likeliest score
3-0 17.8%
Both score
15.3%
Over 2.5
69.3%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Georgi Kabakov Bolt Arena, Helsinki

Finland vs San Marino in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Sunday 15 November, 17:00

Finland vs San Marino simulation probabilities
Finland win94.4%
Draw4.7%
San Marino win0.8%
Most likely score3-0 (17.8%)
Expected goals3.45 – 0.17
Both teams to score15.3%
Over 1.5 goals86.8%
Over 2.5 goals69.3%
Over 3.5 goals48.6%
Finland score first92.4%
San Marino score first4.5%
Finland clean sheet84%
San Marino clean sheet3.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420725819
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Finland vs San Marino prediction FAQs

Who will win Finland vs San Marino?

Finland are favourites. They win 94.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 4.7% for the draw and 0.8% for San Marino. Including the draw, Finland avoid defeat 99.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Finland vs San Marino?

3-0, which came up in 17.8% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (15.9%) and 4-0 (15.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Finland vs San Marino?

Both teams score in 15.3% of simulations. Finland keep a clean sheet 84% of the time and San Marino 3.5%.

How many goals will there be in Finland vs San Marino?

The simulations average 3.63 goals: 3.45 for Finland and 0.17 for San Marino. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 69.3% and over 3.5 goals 48.6%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.