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  1. Simulations
  2. UEFA Nations League
  3. Lithuania vs Liechtenstein
UEFA Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Lithuania vs Liechtenstein prediction

We simulated Lithuania vs Liechtenstein 100,000 times. Lithuania won 87,908 of them (87.9%), the draw came up 9.7% of the time and Liechtenstein won 2.4%. The most likely score is 2-0 (18.8%), and both teams score in 20.8% of simulations.

Lithuania badge
Lithuania S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas
Monday 16 November
Liechtenstein badge
Liechtenstein Away
87.9% 87,908 wins
9.7% Draw
2.4% 2,438 wins
Expected goals
2.67 – 0.26
Likeliest score
2-0 18.8%
Both score
20.8%
Over 2.5
55.7%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas, Lithuania

Lithuania vs Liechtenstein in numbers 100,000 simulations · UEFA Nations League · Monday 16 November, 17:00

Lithuania vs Liechtenstein simulation probabilities
Lithuania win87.9%
Draw9.7%
Liechtenstein win2.4%
Most likely score2-0 (18.8%)
Expected goals2.67 – 0.26
Both teams to score20.8%
Over 1.5 goals78.3%
Over 2.5 goals55.7%
Over 3.5 goals33.8%
Lithuania score first85.6%
Liechtenstein score first9.1%
Lithuania clean sheet77.3%
Liechtenstein clean sheet7.3%

More UEFA Nations League simulations

Cyprus Montenegro 1.2–1.5 xG 50% Over 2.5 Latvia Armenia 1.1–1.3 xG 41% Over 2.5 Belarus Albania 0.9–1.4 xG 40% Over 2.5 Finland San Marino 3.7–0.3 xG 75% Over 2.5 Spain England 1.9–1.3 xG 61% Over 2.5 Belgium Italy 1.6–1.4 xG 58% Over 2.5 Croatia Czech Republic 1.9–1.0 xG 57% Over 2.5 France Türkiye 2.8–0.9 xG 70% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420725827
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Lithuania vs Liechtenstein prediction FAQs

Who will win Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?

Lithuania are favourites. They win 87.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 9.7% for the draw and 2.4% for Liechtenstein. Including the draw, Lithuania avoid defeat 97.6% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?

2-0, which came up in 18.8% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (16.6%) and 1-0 (14.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?

Both teams score in 20.8% of simulations. Lithuania keep a clean sheet 77.3% of the time and Liechtenstein 7.3%.

How many goals will there be in Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?

The simulations average 2.93 goals: 2.67 for Lithuania and 0.26 for Liechtenstein. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.7% and over 3.5 goals 33.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.