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Brazil Serie A · 100,000 simulations

Vitória vs Bragantino prediction

We simulated Vitória vs Bragantino 100,000 times. Vitória won 39,260 of them (39.3%), the draw came up 27.4% of the time and Bragantino won 33.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Vitória win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 57.1% of simulations.

Vitória badge
Vitória Estádio Manoel Barradas
Thursday 19 November
Bragantino badge
Bragantino Away
39.3% 39,260 wins
27.4% Draw
33.3% 33,306 wins
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.33
Likeliest score
1-1 12.9% Top Vitória win: 2-1 8.5%
Both score
57.1%
Over 2.5
52.7%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Ramon Abatti Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador

Vitória vs Bragantino in numbers 100,000 simulations · Brazil Serie A · Thursday 19 November, 22:30

Vitória vs Bragantino simulation probabilities
Vitória win39.3%
Draw27.4%
Bragantino win33.3%
Most likely score1-1 (12.9%)
Expected goals1.46 – 1.33
Both teams to score57.1%
Over 1.5 goals77.6%
Over 2.5 goals52.7%
Over 3.5 goals30.7%
Vitória score first49.1%
Bragantino score first43.9%
Vitória clean sheet26.8%
Bragantino clean sheet23.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420493534
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Vitória vs Bragantino prediction FAQs

Who will win Vitória vs Bragantino?

Vitória are favourites. They win 39.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.4% for the draw and 33.3% for Bragantino. Including the draw, Vitória avoid defeat 66.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Vitória vs Bragantino?

1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Vitória win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Vitória vs Bragantino?

Both teams score in 57.1% of simulations. Vitória keep a clean sheet 26.8% of the time and Bragantino 23.6%.

How many goals will there be in Vitória vs Bragantino?

The simulations average 2.79 goals: 1.46 for Vitória and 1.33 for Bragantino. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.7% and over 3.5 goals 30.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.