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  1. Simulations
  2. Brazil Serie A
  3. Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A · 100,000 simulations

Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras prediction

We simulated Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras 100,000 times. Cruzeiro won 36,265 of them (36.3%), the draw came up 27.8% of the time and Palmeiras won 35.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Cruzeiro win is 2-1 (8.2%). Both teams score in 57.5% of simulations.

Cruzeiro badge
Cruzeiro Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Wednesday 18 November
Palmeiras badge
Palmeiras Away
36.3% 36,265 wins
27.8% Draw
35.9% 35,915 wins
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.40
Likeliest score
1-1 13.1% Top Cruzeiro win: 2-1 8.2%
Both score
57.5%
Over 2.5
52.8%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Anderson Daronco Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte

Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras in numbers 100,000 simulations · Brazil Serie A · Wednesday 18 November, 23:30

Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras simulation probabilities
Cruzeiro win36.3%
Draw27.8%
Palmeiras win35.9%
Most likely score1-1 (13.1%)
Expected goals1.40 – 1.40
Both teams to score57.5%
Over 1.5 goals77.9%
Over 2.5 goals52.8%
Over 3.5 goals30.8%
Cruzeiro score first41.6%
Palmeiras score first50.6%
Cruzeiro clean sheet25.2%
Palmeiras clean sheet25%

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Football simulation API

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Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras prediction FAQs

Who will win Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

Cruzeiro are favourites. They win 36.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.8% for the draw and 35.9% for Palmeiras. Including the draw, Cruzeiro avoid defeat 64.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win is 2-1 (8.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

Both teams score in 57.5% of simulations. Cruzeiro keep a clean sheet 25.2% of the time and Palmeiras 25%.

How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?

The simulations average 2.80 goals: 1.40 for Cruzeiro and 1.40 for Palmeiras. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.8% and over 3.5 goals 30.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.