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Brazil Serie A · 100,000 simulations

Corinthians vs Botafogo prediction

We simulated Corinthians vs Botafogo 100,000 times. Corinthians won 55,427 of them (55.4%), the draw came up 24.6% of the time and Botafogo won 19.9%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.1%), and both teams score in 49% of simulations.

Corinthians badge
Corinthians Arena Corinthians
Thursday 19 November
Botafogo badge
Botafogo Away
55.4% 55,427 wins
24.6% Draw
19.9% 19,942 wins
Expected goals
1.70 – 0.92
Likeliest score
1-0 12.1%
Both score
49%
Over 2.5
48.5%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Wilton Pereira Sampaio Arena Corinthians, São Paulo

Corinthians vs Botafogo in numbers 100,000 simulations · Brazil Serie A · Thursday 19 November, 00:30

Corinthians vs Botafogo simulation probabilities
Corinthians win55.4%
Draw24.6%
Botafogo win19.9%
Most likely score1-0 (12.1%)
Expected goals1.70 – 0.92
Both teams to score49%
Over 1.5 goals73.7%
Over 2.5 goals48.5%
Over 3.5 goals26.9%
Corinthians score first60.4%
Botafogo score first31.6%
Corinthians clean sheet40.3%
Botafogo clean sheet18.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420493562
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Corinthians vs Botafogo prediction FAQs

Who will win Corinthians vs Botafogo?

Corinthians are favourites. They win 55.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.6% for the draw and 19.9% for Botafogo. Including the draw, Corinthians avoid defeat 80.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Corinthians vs Botafogo?

1-0, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Corinthians vs Botafogo?

Both teams score in 49% of simulations. Corinthians keep a clean sheet 40.3% of the time and Botafogo 18.6%.

How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Botafogo?

The simulations average 2.62 goals: 1.70 for Corinthians and 0.92 for Botafogo. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.5% and over 3.5 goals 26.9%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.