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  1. Simulations
  2. Brazil Serie A
  3. São Paulo vs Fluminense
Brazil Serie A · 100,000 simulations

São Paulo vs Fluminense prediction

We simulated São Paulo vs Fluminense 100,000 times. São Paulo won 44,621 of them (44.6%), the draw came up 28.2% of the time and Fluminense won 27.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.3%, while the likeliest São Paulo win is 1-0 (10.6%). Both teams score in 51% of simulations.

São Paulo badge
São Paulo Estádio Nicolau Alayon
Friday 20 November
Fluminense badge
Fluminense Away
44.6% 44,621 wins
28.2% Draw
27.2% 27,232 wins
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.08
Likeliest score
1-1 13.3% Top São Paulo win: 1-0 10.6%
Both score
51%
Over 2.5
46.2%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Lucas Casagrande Estádio Nicolau Alayon, São Paulo

São Paulo vs Fluminense in numbers 100,000 simulations · Brazil Serie A · Friday 20 November, 00:30

São Paulo vs Fluminense simulation probabilities
São Paulo win44.6%
Draw28.2%
Fluminense win27.2%
Most likely score1-1 (13.3%)
Expected goals1.45 – 1.08
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals72.5%
Over 2.5 goals46.2%
Over 3.5 goals25%
São Paulo score first52.8%
Fluminense score first37.8%
São Paulo clean sheet34.3%
Fluminense clean sheet23.8%

More Brazil Serie A simulations

Mirassol Atlético Mineiro 1.7–1.0 xG 51% Over 2.5 Coritiba Santos 1.4–1.5 xG 55% Over 2.5 Remo Chapecoense 1.9–1.0 xG 54% Over 2.5 Cruzeiro Palmeiras 1.4–1.4 xG 53% Over 2.5 Flamengo Athletico PR 2.7–0.7 xG 65% Over 2.5 Corinthians Botafogo 1.7–0.9 xG 49% Over 2.5 Grêmio Bahia 1.8–1.3 xG 60% Over 2.5 Vitória Bragantino 1.5–1.3 xG 53% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420493771
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

São Paulo vs Fluminense prediction FAQs

Who will win São Paulo vs Fluminense?

São Paulo are favourites. They win 44.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.2% for the draw and 27.2% for Fluminense. Including the draw, São Paulo avoid defeat 72.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in São Paulo vs Fluminense?

1-1, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.6%) and 0-0 (9.2%). The likeliest São Paulo win is 1-0 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in São Paulo vs Fluminense?

Both teams score in 51% of simulations. São Paulo keep a clean sheet 34.3% of the time and Fluminense 23.8%.

How many goals will there be in São Paulo vs Fluminense?

The simulations average 2.53 goals: 1.45 for São Paulo and 1.08 for Fluminense. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.2% and over 3.5 goals 25%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.