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  1. Simulations
  2. Brazil Serie A
  3. Coritiba vs Santos
Brazil Serie A · 100,000 simulations

Coritiba vs Santos prediction

We simulated Coritiba vs Santos 100,000 times. Santos won 39,821 of them (39.8%), the draw came up 26.4% of the time and Coritiba won 33.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Santos win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations.

Coritiba badge
Coritiba Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Wednesday 18 November
Santos badge
Santos Away
33.7% 33,735 wins
26.4% Draw
39.8% 39,821 wins
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.51
Likeliest score
1-1 12.3% Top Santos win: 1-2 8.6%
Both score
58.6%
Over 2.5
54.9%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Braulio da Silva Machado Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba

Coritiba vs Santos in numbers 100,000 simulations · Brazil Serie A · Wednesday 18 November, 22:30

Coritiba vs Santos simulation probabilities
Coritiba win33.7%
Draw26.4%
Santos win39.8%
Most likely score1-1 (12.3%)
Expected goals1.38 – 1.51
Both teams to score58.6%
Over 1.5 goals78.9%
Over 2.5 goals54.9%
Over 3.5 goals32.8%
Coritiba score first44.7%
Santos score first48.5%
Coritiba clean sheet22.4%
Santos clean sheet25.7%

More Brazil Serie A simulations

Mirassol Atlético Mineiro 1.7–1.0 xG 51% Over 2.5 Remo Chapecoense 1.9–1.0 xG 54% Over 2.5 Cruzeiro Palmeiras 1.4–1.4 xG 53% Over 2.5 Flamengo Athletico PR 2.7–0.7 xG 65% Over 2.5 Corinthians Botafogo 1.7–0.9 xG 49% Over 2.5 Grêmio Bahia 1.8–1.3 xG 60% Over 2.5 Vitória Bragantino 1.5–1.3 xG 53% Over 2.5 Vasco da Gama Internacional 1.9–0.9 xG 53% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Coritiba vs Santos prediction FAQs

Who will win Coritiba vs Santos?

Santos are favourites. They win 39.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.4% for the draw and 33.7% for Coritiba. Including the draw, Santos avoid defeat 66.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Coritiba vs Santos?

1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Santos win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Coritiba vs Santos?

Both teams score in 58.6% of simulations. Coritiba keep a clean sheet 22.4% of the time and Santos 25.7%.

How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Santos?

The simulations average 2.89 goals: 1.38 for Coritiba and 1.51 for Santos. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.9% and over 3.5 goals 32.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.