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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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UPDATE
Bet Builder Page Enhancements Live Now
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VIDEO
Predictions Show Episode Featuring Bet Builder
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro 100,000 times. Mirassol won 53,503 of them (53.5%), the draw came up 25.5% of the time and Atlético Mineiro won 21%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Mirassol win is 1-0 (10.4%). Both teams score in 52.5% of simulations.
| Mirassol win | 53.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.5% |
| Atlético Mineiro win | 21% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.73 – 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 52.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.5% |
| Mirassol score first | 59.1% |
| Atlético Mineiro score first | 33.1% |
| Mirassol clean sheet | 37% |
| Atlético Mineiro clean sheet | 18.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493516 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mirassol are favourites. They win 53.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.5% for the draw and 21% for Atlético Mineiro. Including the draw, Mirassol avoid defeat 79% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest Mirassol win is 1-0 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.5% of simulations. Mirassol keep a clean sheet 37% of the time and Atlético Mineiro 18.1%.
The simulations average 2.74 goals: 1.73 for Mirassol and 1.00 for Atlético Mineiro. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.3% and over 3.5 goals 29.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.