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  1. Simulations
  2. Brazil Serie A
  3. Vasco da Gama vs Internacional
Brazil Serie A · 100,000 simulations

Vasco da Gama vs Internacional prediction

We simulated Vasco da Gama vs Internacional 100,000 times. Vasco da Gama won 59,271 of them (59.3%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and Internacional won 16.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.6%, while the likeliest Vasco da Gama win is 2-0 (10.8%). Both teams score in 51.7% of simulations.

Vasco da Gama badge
Vasco da Gama Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Thursday 19 November
Internacional badge
Internacional Away
59.3% 59,271 wins
24.5% Draw
16.2% 16,222 wins
Expected goals
1.91 – 0.91
Likeliest score
1-1 11.6% Top Vasco da Gama win: 2-0 10.8%
Both score
51.7%
Over 2.5
53.3%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Paulo Cesar Zanovelli Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama, Rio de Janeiro

Vasco da Gama vs Internacional in numbers 100,000 simulations · Brazil Serie A · Thursday 19 November, 22:30

Vasco da Gama vs Internacional simulation probabilities
Vasco da Gama win59.3%
Draw24.5%
Internacional win16.2%
Most likely score1-1 (11.6%)
Expected goals1.91 – 0.91
Both teams to score51.7%
Over 1.5 goals78.1%
Over 2.5 goals53.3%
Over 3.5 goals31.3%
Vasco da Gama score first62.2%
Internacional score first30.2%
Vasco da Gama clean sheet40.6%
Internacional clean sheet15.3%

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Mirassol Atlético Mineiro 1.7–1.0 xG 51% Over 2.5 Coritiba Santos 1.4–1.5 xG 55% Over 2.5 Remo Chapecoense 1.9–1.0 xG 54% Over 2.5 Cruzeiro Palmeiras 1.4–1.4 xG 53% Over 2.5 Flamengo Athletico PR 2.7–0.7 xG 65% Over 2.5 Corinthians Botafogo 1.7–0.9 xG 49% Over 2.5 Grêmio Bahia 1.8–1.3 xG 60% Over 2.5 Vitória Bragantino 1.5–1.3 xG 53% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Vasco da Gama vs Internacional prediction FAQs

Who will win Vasco da Gama vs Internacional?

Vasco da Gama are favourites. They win 59.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 16.2% for Internacional. Including the draw, Vasco da Gama avoid defeat 83.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Vasco da Gama vs Internacional?

1-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (10.8%) and 1-0 (10.1%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win is 2-0 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Vasco da Gama vs Internacional?

Both teams score in 51.7% of simulations. Vasco da Gama keep a clean sheet 40.6% of the time and Internacional 15.3%.

How many goals will there be in Vasco da Gama vs Internacional?

The simulations average 2.82 goals: 1.91 for Vasco da Gama and 0.91 for Internacional. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.3% and over 3.5 goals 31.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.