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São Paulo vs Fluminense

São Paulo host Fluminense in the Brazil Serie A on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 00:30. Our model makes São Paulo favourites at 47%, with a 27% chance of a draw. In their last 11 meetings, Fluminense won 6, São Paulo won 3 and 2 were drawn.

Brazil Serie A Save
São Paulo
00:30
20 Nov
Fluminense
Estádio Nicolau Alayon, São Paulo Referee: Lucas Casagrande

São Paulo vs Fluminense preview

São Paulo have scored 1.20 goals a game and conceded 0.80 across their last 10 home games in the Serie A this season, while Fluminense have scored 1.40 and conceded 1.40 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of São Paulo's last 10 home games and 7 of Fluminense's last 10 away games. São Paulo have scored first in 9 of their last 10 home games. Fluminense have won 2 of their last 10 away games. São Paulo's last 10 home games have averaged 11.0 corners and Fluminense's last 10 away games 10.3. Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 03:47 UK.

  • Goals scored São Paulo: 1.20 Fluminense: 1.40
  • Goals conceded São Paulo: 0.80 Fluminense: 1.40
  • Both teams scored São Paulo: 6 of 1060% Fluminense: 7 of 1070%
  • Over 2.5 goals São Paulo: 4 of 1040% Fluminense: 5 of 1050%
  • Match corners São Paulo: 11.00 Fluminense: 10.30
  • Match cards São Paulo: 4.90 Fluminense: 5.10

São Paulo's last 10 home games and Fluminense's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season.

Win probabilities

47%São Paulo 27%Draw 26%Fluminense

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

São Paulo vs Fluminense: questions and answers

When is São Paulo vs Fluminense?

São Paulo vs Fluminense kicks off at 00:30 UK time on Friday 20 November 2026 in the Serie A, at Estádio Nicolau Alayon, São Paulo.

Who is the favourite in São Paulo vs Fluminense?

The OddAlerts probability model gives São Paulo a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fluminense 26%.

How many goals do São Paulo and Fluminense games have?

São Paulo have scored 1.20 goals a game and conceded 0.80 across their last 10 home games in the Serie A this season, while Fluminense have scored 1.40 and conceded 1.40 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of São Paulo's last 10 home games and 7 of Fluminense's last 10 away games.

Where are São Paulo and Fluminense in the Serie A table?

São Paulo are 10th with 44 points from 34 games. Fluminense are 4th with 57 points from 34 games.

São Paulo vs Fluminense stats

São Paulo5W 3D 2L · 10 home games
Fluminense2W 4D 4L · 10 away games
São Paulo vs Fluminense general stats: São Paulo's last 10 home games and Fluminense's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season
São PauloStatFluminense
Match outcomes
5 of 1050% Win 2 of 1020%
3 of 1030% Draw 4 of 1040%
2 of 1020% Loss 4 of 1040%
18 Points 10
1.80 Points per game 1.00
4 Goal difference 0
Expected goals
1.47 xG per game 0.98
0.98 xGA per game 1.07
-2.70 xG performance 4.15
Possession & attacks
53% Possession 55%
53.60 Dangerous attacks 37.00
33.40 Dangerous attacks against 52.60
Shots
16.70 Shots for 11.50
11.00 Shots against 15.20
4.80 On target for 4.30
2.60 On target against 5.90
7% Shot conversion 12%
29% On-target accuracy 37%
Tackles & fouls
18.20 Tackles 14.80
13.70 Fouls committed 13.70
14.00 Fouls won 14.90
0.80 Offsides 0.60

São Paulo's last 10 home games and Fluminense's last 10 away games in the Serie A this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 14 Nov 2026, 03:47 UK.

São Paulo vs Fluminense lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

São Paulo vs Fluminense players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Fluminense Rodrigo Castillo 1.67
  2. 2 Fluminense John Kennedy 1.36
  3. 3 São Paulo Artur 1.31
  4. 4 Fluminense Jefferson Savarino 1.25
  5. 5 Fluminense Hulk 1.13

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Jonathan Calleri in 28 games 10goals
John Kennedy in 18 games 9goals
Top creator
Damián Bobadilla in 23 games 3assists
Hulk in 27 games 6assists

Players in form

  1. Artur Attacking midfielder · São Paulo 7.33 Form rating
    Apps
    27
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    2
    • Dribbles1.59 per 90 Top 12%
    • Big chances0.50 per 90 Top 13%
    • Shots2.94 per 90 Top 14%
  2. Hulk Striker · Fluminense 7.21 Form rating
    Apps
    27
    Goals
    7
    Assists
    6
    • Assists0.33 per 90 Top 6%
    • Fouls won2.47 per 90 Top 7%
    • Big chances0.41 per 90 Top 8%
  3. Nonato Defensive midfielder · Fluminense 7.15 Form rating
    Apps
    20
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    3
    • Pass %92% per 90 Top 3%
    • Passes71.10 per 90 Top 4%
    • Touches85.55 per 90 Top 5%
  4. Iago Wing-back · São Paulo 7.12 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Tackles2.78 per 90 Top 9%
    • Key passes1.67 per 90 Top 12%
    • Crosses1.43 per 90 Top 12%
  5. Thiago Silva Centre-back · Fluminense 7.11 Form rating
    Apps
    7
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    1
    • Pass %94% per 90 Top 2%
    • Passes79.93 per 90 Top 3%
    • Ball security5.49 per 90 Top 7%
  6. Martinelli Defensive midfielder · Fluminense 7.10 Form rating
    Apps
    22
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    3
    • Passes70.81 per 90 Top 4%
    • Pass %92% per 90 Top 4%
    • Touches82.71 per 90 Top 6%
  7. Domingos Duarte Centre-back · São Paulo 7.09 Form rating
    Apps
    5
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Interceptions1.88 per 90 Top 10%
    • Aerial %66% per 90 Top 22%
    • Final third7.22 per 90 Top 24%
  8. Jefferson Savarino Winger · Fluminense 7.08 Form rating
    Apps
    25
    Goals
    7
    Assists
    2
    • NP goals0.47 per 90 Top 7%
    • xG0.33 per 90 Top 15%
    • Dribble %55% per 90 Top 19%
  9. Guga Full-back · Fluminense 7.06 Form rating
    Apps
    20
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    2
    • Pass %89% per 90 Top 4%
    • Big chances0.33 per 90 Top 9%
    • Key passes1.39 per 90 Top 14%
  10. Damián Bobadilla Central midfielder · São Paulo 7.03 Form rating
    Apps
    23
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    3
    • Big chances0.43 per 90 Top 5%
    • Final third8.57 per 90 Top 14%
    • G+A0.32 per 90 Top 17%
  11. Luciano Striker · São Paulo 7.03 Form rating
    Apps
    27
    Goals
    9
    Assists
    2
    • Recoveries3.39 per 90 Top 8%
    • Fouls won2.23 per 90 Top 11%
  12. Pedro Lima Wing-back · São Paulo 7.02 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Big chances0.75 per 90 Top 3%
    • xG0.22 per 90 Top 4%
    • Key passes2.28 per 90 Top 5%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

São Paulo vs Fluminense form

São Paulo All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.2
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Serie A H Corinthians 0–0 draw xG 1.3–1.1
  2. Serie A A Bahia 2–3 defeat xG 1.0–1.3
  3. Serie A A Mirassol 1–1 draw xG 1.5–1.8
  4. Serie A H Vasco da Gama 1–0 win xG 1.2–1.1
  5. Serie A H Vitória 2–1 win xG 1.9–1.2
Fluminense All venues
3 W · 0 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.80
Scored per game
1.6
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
  1. Serie A A Vitória 3–0 win xG 2.2–0.9
  2. Serie A H Internacional 2–1 win xG 1.6–1.0
  3. Serie A A Chapecoense 1–2 defeat xG 1.3–0.6
  4. Copa Libertadores A Palmeiras 1–0 win Pens xG 0.2–0.7
  5. Serie A H Santos 1–2 defeat xG 0.9–2.6

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Fluminense vs São Paulo head to head

6 Fluminense wins 2 draws 3 São Paulo wins
2.8 goals per game 55% both teams scored 64% over 2.5 goals
  1. 20 Nov 2026Serie A São Paulo 00:30 Fluminense
  2. 16 May 2026Serie A Fluminense 2–1 São Paulo
  3. 27 Nov 2025Serie A Fluminense 6–0 São Paulo
  4. 27 Jul 2025Serie A São Paulo 3–1 Fluminense
  5. 1 Sep 2024Serie A Fluminense 2–0 São Paulo
  6. 14 May 2024Serie A São Paulo 2–1 Fluminense
  7. 23 Nov 2023Serie A Fluminense 1–0 São Paulo
  8. 1 Jul 2023Serie A São Paulo 1–0 Fluminense
  9. 5 Nov 2022Serie A Fluminense 3–1 São Paulo
  10. 17 Jul 2022Serie A São Paulo 2–2 Fluminense
  11. 13 Sep 2021Serie A Fluminense 2–1 São Paulo
  12. 30 May 2021Serie A São Paulo 0–0 Fluminense

São Paulo vs Fluminense standings

Serie A table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Flamengo 3423747129 +42 76
2 Palmeiras 34211036223 +39 73
3 Cruzeiro 34186105548 +7 60
4 Fluminense 3416995542 +13 57
5 Athletico PR 34159105143 +8 54
6 Bahia 34141195045 +5 53
7 Atlético Mineiro 34148124440 +4 50
8 Bragantino 34138134439 +5 47
9 Santos 341211115049 +1 47
10 São Paulo 34128143939 0 44
11 Botafogo 34119144653 -7 42
12 Coritiba 34119144051 -11 42
13 Vasco da Gama 33118144350 -7 41
14 Mirassol 341010143948 -9 40
15 Vitória 34108163551 -16 38
16 Internacional 34911143842 -4 38
17 Corinthians 34910153642 -6 37
18 Grêmio 34910153847 -9 37
19 Remo 34611173757 -20 29
20 Chapecoense 3349203368 -35 21
  • São Paulo
  • Fluminense
  • Relegation

Serie A 2026 standings as of 14 Nov 2026, 03:47 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

São Paulo vs Fluminense odds

Best price across 7 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
São Paulo 2.42Pinnacle Drifted 3%from 2.36 47%
Draw 3.281xBet Drifted 1%from 3.24 27%
Fluminense 3.221xBet Shortened 4%from 3.34 26%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
São Paulo or Draw 1.36Bet365 No changefrom 1.36 74%
Draw or Fluminense 1.611xBet No changefrom 1.61 53%
São Paulo or Fluminense 1.36Bet365 No changefrom 1.36 73%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
São Paulo 1.62WilliamHill No changefrom 1.62 65%
Fluminense 2.20Bet365 No changefrom 2.20 35%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.83WilliamHill No changefrom 1.83 52%
BTTS No 1.96FanDuel No changefrom 1.96 48%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.36Bet365 No changefrom 1.36 72%
Under 1.5 3.21Pinnacle No changefrom 3.22 28%
Over 2.5 2.151xBet Shortened 3%from 2.22 47%
Under 2.5 1.74Pinnacle No changefrom 1.74 53%
Over 3.5 4.00FanDuel No changefrom 4.00 25%
Under 3.5 1.28Bet365 Shortened 1%from 1.29 76%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
São Paulo 3.07Pinnacle Drifted 1%from 3.04 –
Draw 2.16Pinnacle No changefrom 2.16 –
Fluminense 3.821xBet No changefrom 3.82 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 17:12. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

47%São Paulo 27%Draw 26%Fluminense
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

São Paulo vs Fluminense predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation