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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Kazakhstan vs Slovakia 100,000 times. Slovakia won 52,170 of them (52.2%), the draw came up 25.4% of the time and Kazakhstan won 22.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Slovakia win is 0-1 (10.8%). Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
| Kazakhstan win | 22.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.4% |
| Slovakia win | 52.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.01 – 1.68 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.5% |
| Kazakhstan score first | 33.1% |
| Slovakia score first | 59.5% |
| Kazakhstan clean sheet | 19.1% |
| Slovakia clean sheet | 36.6% |
Cyprus
Montenegro
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Latvia
Armenia
1.1–1.3
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Belarus
Albania
0.9–1.4
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Finland
San Marino
3.7–0.3
xG
75%
Over 2.5
Spain
England
1.9–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Belgium
Italy
1.6–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Croatia
Czech Republic
1.9–1.0
xG
57%
Over 2.5
France
Türkiye
2.8–0.9
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420725818 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Slovakia are favourites. They win 52.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.4% for the draw and 22.4% for Kazakhstan. Including the draw, Slovakia avoid defeat 77.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.8%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest Slovakia win is 0-1 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52% of simulations. Kazakhstan keep a clean sheet 19.1% of the time and Slovakia 36.6%.
The simulations average 2.69 goals: 1.01 for Kazakhstan and 1.68 for Slovakia. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.3% and over 3.5 goals 28.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.