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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic 100,000 times. New Mexico United won 34,234 of them (34.2%), the draw came up 31.8% of the time and Sacramento Republic won 34%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 15.1%, while the likeliest New Mexico United win is 2-1 (8%). Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations.
| New Mexico United win | 34.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.8% |
| Sacramento Republic win | 34% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (15.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.28 – 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 54.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.6% |
| New Mexico United score first | 45.7% |
| Sacramento Republic score first | 43.6% |
| New Mexico United clean sheet | 28.4% |
| Sacramento Republic clean sheet | 28.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420744763 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
New Mexico United are favourites. They win 34.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.8% for the draw and 34% for Sacramento Republic. Including the draw, New Mexico United avoid defeat 66% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 15.1% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest New Mexico United win is 2-1 (8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.1% of simulations. New Mexico United keep a clean sheet 28.4% of the time and Sacramento Republic 28.2%.
The simulations average 2.56 goals: 1.28 for New Mexico United and 1.28 for Sacramento Republic. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.9% and over 3.5 goals 25.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
